One of the hot names in the hobby for Football both this off-season and previous off-seasons is Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Doug Martin. Recently, in the Blowout Cards forum, I asked readers to comment about which Non-Rookie players would break out this year, and several mentioned Martin. While I can understand why some collectors might be enthralled with him, I am a little bit skeptical of that train.
The first thing that worries me about Martin is that he is a RB coming off an injury. Some RBs are able to come back from a serious injury and perform at a high level (think Knowshon Moreno). Many others, from Terrell Davis to another Buc by the name of Cadillac Williams, fail to do so. With other RB options for collectors to get hyped about, including young, starting RBs like Le’Veon Bell and Montee Ball, I’m not sure I understand why some take the risk of betting on a RB to come back from an injury and perform at a high level.
The bigger problems for me, though, are that Doug Martin’s track record, after his rookie year, is not good. Doug Martin put together a good 2012 campaign, but his stats for 2013 are not good. He played 5 complete games and put together 1 solid performance (29 Carries for 144 Yards in Week 2 against New Orleans), with the rest ranging from mediocre to awful (27 carries for 45 yards in Week 4 is pretty unsightly). I’ll let you look at http://www.nfl.com/player/dougmartin/2532899/gamelogs and decide for yourself. Football history is too littered with RBs who put together one good season and then fell apart to assume that this was a fluke. For that reason, I cannot be anywhere close to comfortable with Doug Martin as a hobby investment.
In the end, Doug Martin might have the build for a good RB, but with other good, young RBs to choose from who either aren’t coming off injuries or have shown that they can still perform at a high level regardless, Martin is not someone I buy into. I’ll be writing about players who I do think are good investments ahead of this season over the coming weeks, and there will be plenty of RBs included, ranging from Robert Turbin to Le’Veon Bell to Ben Tate. With so many other options and such negative tape on Martin’s real, I would opt to stay away.